From the CBC:
“Canadian, U.S. military leaders
agree on framework to retool Norad”
Military personnel are seen at
work in the Norad center, deep inside Cheyenne Mountain in Colorado, in an
undated photo. Canadian and U.S. military leaders have struck an agreement
toward updating the joint air and maritime defence effort. (Reuters) Military
leaders from the U.S. and Canada have come to an agreement on the nuts and
bolts retooling of Norad, CBC News has learned. It is a milestone that could end up pitting
the next government in Ottawa against both the Trump administration and perhaps
even northern Indigenous communities at home. Now over six decades old, the
bi-national air and maritime defence command — and its associated airfields,
radar stations and satellite network — has been in need of a major overhaul in
the face of emerging threats, such as North Korean ballistic missiles and
rapidly advancing cruise missile technology. Word of the understanding comes as
two Canadian CF-18s and two American F-22 Raptors intercepted two Russian Tu-95
Bear bombers, which pressed close to North American airspace, on Thursday. The
agreement of "what's in and what's out" of the new North American
Aerospace Defence Command was struck a few months ago, said a defence source in
Ottawa, who was granted anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject. Separately,
the Canadian general who is the deputy commander of Norad confirmed the two
countries are on the same page when it comes to the new framework needed to
defend the continent, but cautioned there is still a lot of work and
negotiation ahead over capabilities and what is affordable. "We have
established the operational requirements," Lt.-Gen. Christopher Coates in
an interview with CBC News. A
bi-national panel is examining the specifications and make recommendations to
both the Pentagon and the Department of National Defence in Ottawa. Eventually,
Coates said, each government will have to "determine whether or not those
capabilities will be provided — or some other option" will be pursued. And
that is where things could potentially get messy, according to defence experts.
James Fergusson, of the University of Manitoba, one of the pre-eminent
researchers on Norad, said the price tag will be substantial. Replacing the North Warning System chain of
radar stations, alone, could cost as much as $11 billion, he said. The Liberal
government has made much of saying its defence plans are fully costed, but it
deliberately did not include the calculation for Norad modernization in its
policy. There will have to be some negotiation with Washington, even though the
cost sharing formula (60-40 split between the U.S. and Canada) has long been
established. Steve Saideman, a professor
of international affairs at Carleton University in Ottawa, said he can't see
any Canadian government being anxious to open negotiations with the Trump
administration, regardless of how long standing the arrangements might be. U.S. President Donald Trump has long
complained American allies do not pay their fair share of costs for the NATO
alliance, and Saideman said it is not beyond the realm of possibility that
government-to-government technical negotiations over Norad could devolve. Fergusson
disagreed. If they argue over money, he said, it will likely involve
environmental cleanup costs related to the existing, remote north warning radar
stations. When Norad abandoned its first
chain of early warning sites — known as the DEW line — in 1993, the cleanup
took 21 years and Canada was stuck with the $575 million bill. More
problematic, as far as Fergusson is concerned, is whether Norad's proposed new capabilities
will affect northern indigenous communities, which — unlike the past — will
rightfully expect to be consulted and have a say over what the military does
with the land. "When they [the Canadian and U.S. military] go up there in
Northern Canada, now, they can't simply ignore the Indigenous people,"
said Fergusson, "And that's a political issue." CBC News reached out
to four northern Indigenous groups this week to ask about their potential
concerns. All declined to comment. Lightweight ballistic protection among ideas
as Ottawa rolls out $1.6B fund for defence and security threats Military
officials would not say precisely what capabilities they are proposing, but
among the biggest open question is whether a re-equipped Norad will mean an end
to Canada's long-standing prohibition on participating in ballistic missile
defence. Gen. John Hyten, who has been nominated to be vice chairman of the
U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, told his confirmation hearing on July 30 that U.S.
cannot do missile defence alone anywhere in the world. "Missile defence
needs to be an international capability," Hyten testified. "We need
to be able to partner with our allies in terms of how we defend ourselves,
too." The Liberal government's defence policy was explicit, saying Canada
would not change course on missile defence, but dramatic nuclear and rocket
tests by the rogue regime in North Korea have prompted both the House of
Commons and the Senate defence committees to recommend a change of heart.
^ NORAD needs to be updated to be
able to meet the demands of modern warfare. That means that both Canada and the
US needs to step-up their military, political and financial commitments to
NORAD. ^
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