From Reuters:
“Islamic State uses Taliban's
own tactics to attack Afghanistan's new rulers”
A little more than a month after
toppling the Western-backed government in Kabul, Afghanistan's new Taliban
rulers are facing internal enemies who have adopted many of the tactics of
urban warfare that marked their own successful guerrilla campaign. A deadly
attack on Kabul airport last month and a series of bomb blasts in the eastern
city of Jalalabad, all claimed by the local affiliate of Islamic State, have
underlined the threat to stability from violent militant groups who remain
unreconciled to the Taliban. While the movement's spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid
has downplayed the threat, saying this week that Islamic State had no effective
presence in Afghanistan, commanders on the ground do not dismiss the threat so
lightly. Two members of the movement's intelligence services who investigated
some of the recent attacks in Jalalabad said the tactics showed the group
remained a danger, even if it did not have enough fighters and resources to
seize territory. Using sticky bombs - magnetic bombs usually stuck to the
underside of cars - the attacks targeted Taliban members in exactly the same
way the Taliban itself used to hit officials and civil society figures to
destabilize the former government. "We are worried about these sticky
bombs that once we used to apply to target our enemies in Kabul. We are
concerned about our leadership as they could target them if not controlled them
successfully," said one of the Taliban intelligence officials. Islamic
State in Khorasan, the name taken from the ancient name for the region that
includes modern Afghanistan, first emerged in late 2014 but has declined from
its peak around 2018 following a series of heavy losses inflicted by both the
Taliban and U.S. forces. Taliban security forces in Nangarhar said they had
killed three members of the movement on Wednesday night and the intelligence
officials said the movement still retains the ability to cause trouble through
small-scale attacks. "Their main structure is broken and they are now
divided in small groups to carry out attacks," one of them said.
FUNDING DRIED UP The
Taliban have said repeatedly that they will not allow Afghanistan to be used as
a base for attacks on other countries. But some Western analysts believe the
return of the Islamist group to power has invigorated groups like ISIS-K and al
Qaeda, which had made Afghanistan their base when the Taliban last ruled the
country. "In Afghanistan, the return of Taliban is a huge victory
for the Islamists," said Rohan Gunaratna, professor of security studies at
Singapore's Nanyang Technological University. "They have celebrated the
return of the Taliban, so I think that Afghanistan is the new theatre."
ISIS-K is believed to draw many of its fighters from the ranks of the
Taliban or the Pakistani version of the Taliban, known as the TTP, but much of
the way it operates remains little understood. It has fought the Taliban
over smuggling routes and other economic interests but it also supports a
global Caliphate under Islamic law, in contrast with the Taliban which insists
it has no interest in anywhere outside Afghanistan. Most analysts, as
well as the United Nations, peg ISIS-K's strength at under 2,000 fighters,
compared to as many as 100,000 at the Taliban's disposal. The ranks of ISIS-K
were swollen with prisoners released when Afghanistan's jails were opened by
the Taliban as they swept through the country. According to a June
report by the UN security council, ISIS-K's financial and logistic ties to its
parent organisation in Syria have weakened, though it does retain some channels
of communication. "Funding support to the Khorasan branch from the
core is believed to have effectively dried up," the report said. However,
the report said signs of divisions within the Taliban, which have already
started to emerge, could encourage more fighters to defect as the wartime
insurgency tries to reshape itself into a peacetime administration. "It
remains active and dangerous, particularly if it is able, by positioning itself
as the sole pure rejectionist group in Afghanistan, to recruit disaffected
Taliban and other militants to swell its ranks," the UN said.
^ In a perfect world the Taliban
and ISIS would only attack and kill each other. This is one of those times I really
wish we lived in a perfect world. ^
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