Wednesday, March 25, 2020

Cutting Aid

From the BBC:
“Afghanistan conflict: US to cut $1bn in aid over political feud”

The US is cutting $1bn (£0.86bn) in aid to Afghanistan and threatening further reductions in co-operation, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said.  Mr Pompeo announced the cut following a trip to the Afghan capital, Kabul, where he failed to break a deadlock between two politicians who both claim victory in the presidential election. He hoped to save a deal signed between the Taliban militant group and the US. The agreement is supposed to pave the way to peace in Afghanistan. However, the political disunity in Kabul has hampered efforts to create a negotiating team and the talks with the Taliban - a key part of the agreement signed late last month - have yet to begin.

Afghanistan: the long road to peace:  Since the US intervened in 2001 to dislodge the Taliban, tens of thousands of people have been killed in Afghanistan, including an estimated 32,000 civilians. The US and its Nato allies have now agreed to withdraw all troops within 14 months - if the Taliban abide by the deal.

What is blocking the peace process?:   A political row between Ashraf Ghani - who has served as president since 2014 - and his rival, Abdullah Abdullah, who served as the country's chief executive in the last administration. Both stood as candidates in the presidential election last September, with Mr Ghani officially declared the winner in February 2020 - a result challenged by Mr Abdullah. Both men have since claimed victory and held rival inaugurations earlier this month. Mr Pompeo visited Kabul in an effort to end the stand-off, and held separate meetings with the rivals.  He said the failure to form an "inclusive government" dishonoured those who had lost their lives in the Afghan conflict. The US secretary of state was unusually harsh in his condemnation of the two men's failure to work together.  He said they were acting inconsistently with commitments made in connection with the peace agreement, and that their failure posed a direct threat to US national interests. In addition to the $1bn cut this year, the US was prepared to cut its assistance in 2021 by the same amount and was conducting "a review of all of our programs and projects to identify additional reductions, and reconsider our pledges to future donor conferences for Afghanistan", Mr Pompeo said. However, he added that if the two sides reached a resolution, the sanction would be revisited.

How is the peace process meant to unfold?:   The next step was supposed to be a prisoner swap. Under the US-Taliban agreement, some 5,000 Taliban prisoners were supposed to be freed by the Afghan authorities, in return for 1,000 government troops. It was supposed to show trust between the two sides ahead of talks. But Mr Gahni said he had not agreed to this, instead offering the conditional release of 1,500 prisoners. The Taliban have not agreed to this. According to Tolo News, Mr Pompeo said he had "pressed" the rival presidents on this.  The secretary of state also said the Taliban were honouring their commitments to stop attacking US targets, and the American troop withdrawal would proceed in accordance with the agreement. He did not address the fact that the Taliban have continued to attack Afghan soldiers, but he said there had been a reduction in violence, and stressed that the US would continue to defend and support the Afghan National Security forces. Nearly 3,500 members of the international coalition forces have died since the 2001 invasion, more than 2,300 of them American. America has started withdrawing its troops after agreeing to reduce their number from about 12,000 to 8,600 within 135 days of signing the agreement with the Taliban on 29 February.

^ This is clearly Trump trying to force the legally-elected Afghani Government to accept a takeover by the Taliban (which will happen once the US and the other countries leave Afghanistan.) He is basically telling the Afghani Government to accept Taliban rule or lose American money that is propping-up Afghanistan. Of course to regular Afghanis they remember the death and destruction the Taliban caused when they governed the country and don’t want a return to that hell. To Trump and other Westerners they just want to get Americans and other Western soldiers out of Afghanistan and don’t really care how it is done. I see the Afghani Government forced to accept the Taliban, US troops leaving Afghanistan, the Taliban re-taking complete control over the country and re-imposing their sick religious rule targeting women and other minorities. The main difference to a new Taliban-run Afghanistan is that I don’t see them allowing outside terrorists (like Al-Qaida or ISIS) to seek refuge within their country and attack the US and other Western countries – as they did in 2001. So while it will be hell for the ordinary Afghanis the rest of the world will be safe and won’t care. ^

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-52016469

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