From the BBC:
“Ready for power: Team Scholz
promises a new Germany”
Germans were promised a new
government in time for Christmas, and as the festive lights twinkle on the fir
trees in Berlin's political district, it looks as though they're going to get
it. Subject to final approval by members of the three parties, this rather
disparate political grouping will be sworn in on Wednesday and the era of
Angela Merkel will officially give way to a new age under Social Democrat Olaf
Scholz. The "traffic light coalition" is named after the colours of
the parties involved: the Social Democrats (red) who champion fair society, the
Free Democrats (yellow) who champion business and industry, and the Greens. They
will have to hit the ground running, with Germany in the grip of an aggressive
fourth Covid wave, and increasingly tight restrictions on public life.
Focus on climate change So,
it's all change politically and, if the new government has its way, there'll be
far-reaching social change too. It wants a fairer, more liberal Germany which
makes tackling climate change a priority.
Under the three-party plans: Phasing
out coal would be accelerated, by 2030 as opposed to the previous target of
2038, By 2030 renewables should provide 80% of the country's electricity,
And, by the same date, the coalition wants 15m electric vehicles on German
roads. There are significant, and generous, social proposals too: easier
access to welfare and an increase in the minimum wage to €12 (£10.25; $13.50)
an hour. The current child welfare system of Kindergeld - a monthly
payment per child to parents that varies according to their income - will be
replaced by a new system. That would deliver a monthly €500 (£425) per child to
parents regardless of their means. They are policies which, according to a
recent survey, enjoy considerable public support.
Cannabis and voting age But
voters appear to be divided over other plans, like the legalisation of cannabis
and the coalition's proposal to end an old law that prevents doctors from
advertising abortion services. A plan to reduce the voting age from 18
to 16 does not appear to have captured the public imagination either. Only 30%
of respondents to the survey approved of the idea. Another proposal may
yet prove controversial too, both at home and abroad. The three parties want to
completely overhaul Germany's immigration system as well as reform EU asylum
policy. The new government wants to encourage immigration; improving the
rights of people who seek asylum here and making it easier for foreigners to
gain citizenship.
Germany's place in the world But
how different will Germany look from the outside, and what does the new
government mean for Europe and the rest of the world? Expect, tonally at
least, a slightly tougher response to countries like Russia and China. The
coalition treaty specifically refers to human rights abuses in China, as well
as demanding a return to the one country, two systems policy for Hong Kong and
support for Taiwan. That's in line with the EU position, but
commentators note that the language marks a departure of sorts from the Merkel
era. On defence, there's a commitment to increase spending, although the
Nato target of 2% of GDP is not specifically mentioned. Concerns in some
international quarters that an even more dovish government in Berlin might walk
away from its nuclear commitments to the Western military alliance have been
assuaged. Germany will stay part of the Nato nuclear sharing agreement
and continue to host American nuclear weapons as well as replace the ageing
German aircraft capable of carrying them. Many suspect that, viewed from
Washington, Paris or Tokyo, the Scholz administration may not look
substantially different to that of Angela Merkel.
Who's who?
Olaf Scholz: Many believe
the Social Democrat won the election because, in style and manner, he so
closely resembles Angela Merkel. Calm and quiet, the former finance minister
developed a reputation for caution and prudence, although he won points with
the German public for releasing funds during earlier waves of the pandemic.
Annalena Baerbock: She was
the Greens' candidate for chancellor and shows signs of becoming an outspoken
foreign minister, having made her disdain for some of Germany's previous
foreign policies plain. It remains to be seen how much power she'll really
wield. Under Angela Merkel most foreign policy was, in reality, conducted from
the chancellery.
Robert Habeck: He has led
the Greens with Ms Baerbock and will now head up a so-called super ministry
which will combine economy and climate protection.
Christian Lindner: As
finance minister it's the Free Democrat leader who will hold the purse strings
and much of the power. It's notable that, during coalition negotiations,
despite coming third in the election, his party scored some significant
successes, forcing the others for example to ditch the climate-friendly plan of
imposing a national motorway speed limit and throwing out a proposed wealth
tax.
Chances of success The
three parties have very different political positions and visions for Germany.
That they managed to agree to form a government in the first place is
considered by some as nothing short of a miracle. Holding the coalition
together won't always be easy and their plans for a "new Germany" are
expensive. Some experts wonder how the coalition really plans to pay for it
all. And the ministers will take their seats with Covid infections
higher than ever. Germany was already struggling to keep up in an
increasingly digitalised world. Early on in the pandemic it emerged that health
authorities were still communicating by fax and glaring shortcomings were
exposed in the education infrastructure. Olaf Scholz has already come
under fire for what many say is an insufficiently tough response to coronavirus
and, having ruled out lockdown measures, senior coalition figures are starting
to rethink their positions. Even before Germany's new government is
sworn in, its next chancellor is engulfed in what his predecessor, Angela
Merkel, calls the worst crisis since World War Two.
^ The new German Government will
have to focus on Covid, the EU, Russia before they can do much within the
country. I’m curious to see if it will succeed. ^
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.